Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000853 0.000915 0.000980 0.001054 0.001137 0.001225 0.001328
2025-12-21 0.000749 0.000831 0.000921 0.001030 0.001157 0.001302 0.001481
2025-12-28 0.000659 0.000747 0.000848 0.000973 0.001124 0.001304 0.001538
2026-01-04 0.000600 0.000692 0.000800 0.000937 0.001108 0.001319 0.001603
2026-01-11 0.000563 0.000659 0.000774 0.000924 0.001116 0.001361 0.001703
2026-01-18 0.000536 0.000636 0.000757 0.000919 0.001133 0.001413 0.001818
2026-01-25 0.000580 0.000703 0.000857 0.001070 0.001363 0.001765 0.002384
2026-02-01 0.000542 0.000663 0.000816 0.001031 0.001333 0.001756 0.002426
2026-02-08 0.000512 0.000631 0.000785 0.001003 0.001315 0.001762 0.002490
2026-02-15 0.000490 0.000610 0.000766 0.000990 0.001318 0.001797 0.002600
2026-02-22 0.000466 0.000584 0.000739 0.000966 0.001301 0.001801 0.002660
2026-03-01 0.000442 0.000557 0.000709 0.000934 0.001271 0.001783 0.002679
2026-03-08 0.000422 0.000537 0.000691 0.000923 0.001277 0.001829 0.002831
2026-03-15 0.000401 0.000514 0.000669 0.000903 0.001269 0.001854 0.002950
2026-03-22 0.000373 0.000481 0.000629 0.000856 0.001214 0.001795 0.002908
2026-03-29 0.000353 0.000457 0.000601 0.000825 0.001184 0.001776 0.002939
2026-04-05 0.000339 0.000442 0.000587 0.000814 0.001184 0.001809 0.003074
2026-04-12 0.000329 0.000432 0.000578 0.000811 0.001196 0.001861 0.003255
2026-04-19 0.000354 0.000474 0.000648 0.000937 0.001437 0.002361 0.004493
2026-04-26 0.000337 0.000453 0.000622 0.000904 0.001400 0.002327 0.004518
2026-05-03 0.000323 0.000435 0.000602 0.000881 0.001377 0.002320 0.004604
2026-05-10 0.000313 0.000424 0.000589 0.000870 0.001376 0.002358 0.004811
2026-05-17 0.000301 0.000409 0.000572 0.000850 0.001356 0.002353 0.004906